Maonero Ekutengeserana Kwepasi Pose ehafu yechipiri yegore ra2023: Kufamba Usina Kuziva
Mishumo ichangoburwa kubva kumasangano epasi rose akadai seUnited Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) neWorld Trade Organisation (WTO) inoratidza maonero ekungwarira pamusoro pemaonero ekutengeserana kwepasi rose. Kunyange hazvo zviratidzo zvakananga zvichiratidza kuti nzira dzekutengesa pasi rose dzakakanganiswa nedenda dziri kudzoka zvishoma nezvishoma, nekuvandudzika kuri kuonekwa mukushaikwa kwezvinhu zvevatengi zvisiri zvekushandisa uye kunonoka kwekutumirwa, kota yechipiri inotarisirwa kuona kudzikira kwekukura kwekutengeserana kwepasi rose. Tichitarisa mberi, mikana yekutengeserana kwehafu yekupedzisira yegore haina tariro, nefungidziro dzichiratidza kuti kukura kwekutengeserana kwegore negore kunogona kudzikira pasi pemazinga ekare. WTO inofanotaura kuwedzera kudiki kwe1.7% muhuwandu hwekutengeserana kwezvinhu pasi rose muna 2023, kwakaderera zvakanyanya pane avhareji ye2.6% yakaonekwa mumakore gumi nemaviri apfuura.
Pakufunga nezvenjodzi dzingakanganisa kutengeserana kwenyika uye macheni ekupa zvinhu mumwedzi iri kuuya, masangano epasi rose ataurwa pamusoro apa anotaura zvinhu zvakaita sekuderera kwehupfumi hwenyika, inflation, kusagadzikana kwemusika wemari, uye kusawirirana kwezvematongerwo enyika. Mutungamiriri Mukuru weWTO Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala akasimbisa panguva yekutora kwake chikamu mu2023 Summer Davos Forum muChina kuti nyika haigone kubhadhara nzira dzakasiyana-siyana dze "kupatsanurana nekubatanidza." Sekureva kwefungidziro dzeWTO, kuchengetedzwa kwekutengeserana kwenguva refu uye kusava nehukama hwenyika imwe chete zvinogona kukonzera kurasikirwa kwehupfumi hwenyika ne5%, nenyika dzichiri kusimukira dzingangorasikirwa ne12% kusvika 14%.
Zvisinei, pakati peizvi, pane tariro inobva kuSouth Korea. Musi wa1 Chikunguru, Bazi rezvekutengeserana, maindasitiri, uye simba rakaburitsa data rinoratidza kuti South Korea yakawana mari yakawanda yekutengeserana inosvika $1.13 bhiriyoni muna Chikumi, zvichiratidza kuti ndiyo yekutanga mari yakawanda pamwedzi kubva muna Kukadzi 2022. Kubva munaKurume 2022 kusvika Chivabvu 2023, South Korea yakasangana nekushomeka kwekutengeserana kwemwedzi gumi nemishanu yakatevedzana. Nhamba dzinoratidza kuti zvinhu zvakatengeswa kunze kwenyika neSouth Korea muna Chikumi zvakasvika $54.24 bhiriyoni, kudzikira kwe6.0% zvichienzaniswa nenguva imwe chete gore rapfuura, nepo zvinhu zvakatengeswa kunze kwenyika muna Chikumi zvakasvika $53.11 bhiriyoni, zvichiratidza kudzikira kwe11.7% pagore.
Mukati mekutengeserana kwenyika dzese, ruzivo rwekutengeserana rweSouth Korea runoshanda sechiratidzo chikuru chehupfumi hwepasi rose, zvichiriita zita rekuti "canary mugodhi wemarasha." Pamusoro pezvo, zvinhu zvinotengeswa kunze kwenyika neSouth Korea, zvinosanganisira zvigadzirwa zvikuru zvakaita se semiconductors, displays, uye mafuta akacheneswa, zvinoshanda sechiratidzo chikuru chekudiwa kwebhizinesi repasi rose uye tekinoroji.
Kunyange zvakadaro, kune tsananguro dzakasiyana-siyana pamusoro pekuti kudzikira kwekudiwa kwezvinhu zvekuSouth Korea kwaderera here. Kunyanya, sezvatinosvika muna Chikunguru naNyamavhuvhu, izvo zvisiri nguva dzekutengeserana dzakanyanya kukwira, hazvisati zvanyatsojeka kana kudzikira kwekutengeswa kwezvinhu kunze kwenyika kwaderera. Moon Junghiu, nyanzvi yezvehupfumi kuBank of Korea, anoti kunyange zvazvo zvinhu zvinotengeswa kunze kwenyika zvingave zvichidzikama kana kuti zvichisvika padanho repamusoro, mubvunzo wakakosha wekufunga nezvawo ndewekuti kudzoreredza zvinhu kuchatevera nzira "yakaita seV" kana "yakaita seL".
Roger, nyanzvi muindasitiri yekutakura zvinhu ine ruzivo rwakakura muCalifornia, anofanotaura kuti huwandu hwezvinhu zvinopinzwa muUnited States huchadzoka zvishoma nezvishoma kubva padanho rayo rakaderera razvino kutanga muchikamu chechitatu chegore. Zvichakadaro, Chris Rogers, Mukuru weSupply Chain Research kuS&P Global Market Intelligence, anotaura kuti supply chains dzave kuda kudzorera zvakajairika maererano nebasa, zvinhu zviri mudura, uye mwaka. Zvisinei, anonyevera kuti kusava nechokwadi nezvemitemo yehurumende nenjodzi dzemuviri kuri kuuya sezvo makambani ari kutanga kuronga kugadzirisa supply chain kwenguva refu, kunyanya muhafu yekupedzisira ya2023.
Zvose pamwe chete, hafu yekutanga ya2023 yakaona kudzoreredzwa kwehuwandu hwezvinhu zvakatumirwa uye maitiro, zvichiita sekunge zvadzokera padanho rekare. Muna Chivabvu, zvinhu zvinopinzwa mugungwa zviri mumidziyo yemuUS zvakaderera ne27% gore rapfuura; zvisinei, nhamba iyi yaingova yakakwira ne2% chete pane avhareji yemwedzi yakafanana kubva muna 2016 kusvika 2019, isati yatanga denda. Kubva pamaonero ezvinhu zviri mumidziyo, zvinhu zviri mumidziyo yekugadzira zvakapfuura zvishoma avhareji yekota yekutanga ya2023, nepo zvinhu zvakapedzwa zvakasvika padanho rekuenzana. Tichitarisa data rezvemari, zviri pachena kuti chiyero chezvinhu zviri mumidziyo yemumba chinoenderana nemazinga asati asvika denda, nepo vatengesi vemidziyo yemumba, vatengesi vekuvaka, uye vagadziri vezvigadzirwa zvemagetsi vachiri kurwisana nemazinga epamusoro ezvinhu zviri mumidziyo, zvichiratidza kudiwa kunononoka pane nzira itsva yekutarisira "zvisingatarisirwi".
Mukupedzisa, zvichibva pamishumo yataurwa pamusoro apa uye ongororo yedata, zviri pachena kuti kutengeserana kwepasi rose uye macheni ekutengesa zvinhu achiri kutarisana nekusava nechokwadi uye njodzi dzakakura pasinei nekupora zvishoma nezvishoma kwehupfumi hwepasi rose kubva mukukanganiswa nedenda. Kunyange zvakadaro, kubudirira kweSouth Korea mukutengeserana kwakawanda pamwedzi muna Chikumi kunoratidza kumukazve kwehupfumi zvishoma nezvishoma mune mamwe mativi. Kuenderera mberi, kushanda pamwe chete uye kushandira pamwe kwakasimbiswa pakati pehurumende nemabhizinesi pasi rese zvakakosha kuchengetedza zvido zvemunhu mumwe nemumwe ukuwo zvichikurudzira kugadzikana uye budiriro inoenderera mberi muhupfumi hwepasi rose.
Nguva yekutumira: Chikunguru-10-2023